Thursday, December 12, 2019

Unit 7- Balance Payments

Balance of Payments
The measure of money inflows and outflows between the US and the rest of the world (ROW)
  • Inflows are referred to as credits
  • Outflows are referred to as debits
The Balance of Payments is divided into 3 accounts.
    • Current Account
    • Capital/Financial Account
    • Official Reserves Account
    • Image result for balance of payments

Current Account
Balance of Trade or Net Exports
  • Exports of Goods and Services (G&S)
    • Exports create a credit to the balance of payments
    • Imports create a debit to the balance of payments
  • Net Foreign Income
    • Income earned by US owned foreign assets - Income paid to foreign held US assets.
    • Example: Interest payments on US owned Brazilian bonds - Interest payments on German owned US treasury bonds.
  • Net Transfers (tend to be unilateral)
    • Foreign aid ➝ a debit to the current account
    • Example: Mexican migrant workers send money to family in Mexico.

Capital/Financial Account
The balance of capital ownership.
  • Includes the purchases of both real and financial assets
  • Direct investment in the US is a credit to the capital account.
    • Ex. Toyota factory in San Antonio
  • Direct investment by US firms/individuals in a foreign country are debits to the capital account.
    • Ex. The Intel factory in San Jose, Costa Rica
  • Purchase of foreign financial assets represents a debit to the capital account
    • Ex. Warren Buffet buys stocks in Petrochina
  • Purchase of domestic financial assets by foreigners represents a credit to the capital account.
    • Ex. The United Arab Emirates Sovereign Wealth Fund purchases a large stake in the NASDAQ
  • Relationship between Current and Capital Account
    • The current account and the capital account should zero each other out.
    • That is...if the current account has a negative balance (deficit), then the capital account should then have a positive balance (surplus)

Official Reserves
The foreign currency holdings of the US Federal Reserve System
  • When there is a balance of payments surplus the Fed accumulates foreign currency and debits the balance of payments.
  • When there is a balance of payments deficit the Fed depletes its reserves of foreign currency and credits the balance of payments.
  • The official reserves zero out the balance of payments.

Formulas
  • Balance of trades
    • Good exports + good imports
  • Balance of Goods and Services
    • (Goods exports + service exports) + (Goods imports + services imports)
  • Current Account
    • Balance of Goods and Services + Net investment income + Net transfers
  • Capital Account
    • Foreign purchases of assets + US purchase of assets
  • Official Reserves
    • Current Account + Capital Account

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